RollingOriginSplitter
Cross-validate a series by walking the origin forward through time.
Each fold trains on everything up to a point and is scored on the rows just after it, then the point moves forward and the model is refitted with more history. The training window only ever grows.
With four origins, a horizon of one and a reserved tail::
Reserved test, in no fold: Nov Dec
Fold 1: train Jan Feb Mar | validation Apr Fold 2: train Jan .. Apr | validation May Fold 3: train Jan .. May | validation Jun Fold 4: train Jan .. Jun | validation Jul
Final: train Jan .. Oct | test Nov Dec
This is what k-fold cannot do for a series: its folds train on rows that come after the ones they score, which measures interpolation rather than forecasting and reports a number that will not survive contact with real use.
The size of the first training window is not asked for. It follows from the other three settings, since the last origin has to leave a full horizon of rows to score::
initial_train_size = n - horizon - (n_splits - 1) * step
Row order is taken as time order, and the reserved rows are the tail rather
than a random sample, which is what TEST_SPLIT_STRATEGY = "temporal"
selects in the base class.
Parameters
- n_splits : integer, default=
5 - How many times the model is refitted and scored, each time with more history than the last.
- horizon : integer, default=
1 - How many steps ahead each refit is scored on.
- step : integer, default=
1 - How many rows the origin advances between one refit and the next.
- test_size : number, default=
0.1 - Proportion of the most recent rows held back from every origin, used once to score the final model.
Methods
split_indexes(self, x: "'DashAIDataset'", y: "'DashAIDataset'") -> 'List[Tuple[List, List]]'
RollingOriginSplitterBuild one expanding train and validation pair per origin.
Parameters
- x : DashAIDataset
- The rows left after the reserved tail was carved off.
- y : DashAIDataset
- Target values associated with
x. Unused: where the cuts fall depends only on position, never on the target.
Returns
- list[tuple[List, List]]
- One
(train, validation)pair per origin, as positions within the pool. The caller maps them back to original rows.
explainable_partitions(cls, split_indexes)
FoldSplitterReturn the partitions of a fold based run an explainer may target.
Parameters
- split_indexes : dict
- The
Run.split_indexespayload, already parsed.
Returns
- dict
- Row indexes for the
trainandtestpartitions.
explainable_splits(cls, split_indexes: 'Dict[str, Any]') -> 'List[Dict[str, Any]]'
BaseSplitterDescribe the partitions of a run that an explainer may target.
Parameters
- split_indexes : dict
- The
Run.split_indexespayload, already parsed.
Returns
- list[dict]
- One
{"name", "rows"}entry per non-empty partition, followed by anallentry. Empty when the run has no data to explain.
get_credential(self, name: str)
ConfigObjectResolve a registered credential component by name.
Parameters
- name : str
- Credential component class name (e.g. "HuggingFaceCredential").
Returns
- BaseCredential
- An instance of the requested credential component.
get_metadata(cls) -> 'dict'
FoldSplitterReturn metadata describing the splitter's compatibility.
get_schema(cls) -> dict
ConfigObjectGenerates the component related Json Schema.
Returns
- dict
- Dictionary representing the Json Schema of the component.
prepare_y(self, y)
BaseSplitterEncode the target variable for stratified splitting.
Parameters
- y : object
- Target values to encode. This may be a list, a pandas-like object, or a DashAI dataset that exposes a single target column.
Returns
- object
- Encoded labels suitable for stratified splitting.
split(self, x: 'DashAIDataset', y: 'DashAIDataset') -> 'Tuple[List[DatasetDict], List[DatasetDict], Dict[str, Any]]'
FoldSplitterCreate folds and return both the partitioned datasets and the indices.
Parameters
- x : DashAIDataset
- Input dataset to split.
- y : DashAIDataset
- Target values associated with
x.
Returns
- tuple[list, list, dict]
- A tuple containing the split datasets for every fold and a mapping from fold names to their corresponding train/test indices.
validate_and_transform(self, raw_data: dict) -> dict
ConfigObjectIt takes the data given by the user to initialize the model and returns it with all the objects that the model needs to work.
Parameters
- raw_data : dict
- A dictionary with the data provided by the user to initialize the model.
Returns
- dict
- A validated dictionary with the necessary objects.